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Friday, August 29, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 29 2008

AUG 29 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM TTREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 20060, S2 RS 19860

R1 RS 20560, R2 RS 20880

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.

Silver for immediate delivery was little changed at $13.7250 an ounce.

Gold headed for the second weekly gain after oil rose and the

dollar retreated against the euro, boosting the appeal of the

precious metal as an inflation hedge.

Gold is supported as crude oil prices advanced.

Tropical Storm Gustav is still pretty much on everybody's mind.

Crude oil for October delivery rose $1.34, or 1.2 percent, to

$116.93 a barrel at 1:20 p.m. Singapore time on the New York

Mercantile Exchange. Futures fell $2.56, or 2.2 percent, to

$115.59 a barrel yesterday.

With the long-weekend coming up in the U.S. liquidity remains very thin.

Prices could jump up and down a few dollars quite easily.

Markets in the U.S. will be closed Sept. 1 for a Labor

Day holiday.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 28 2008

AUG 28 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 20120 , S2 RS 19940

R1 RS 20560 , R2 RS 20880

Silver firmed to$13.61/13.67 an ounce from $13.49/13.55

an ounce late in NewYork.

Gold climbs further on oil but resistance levels intact.

Oil firms above $119 on supply fears.

Investors await second-quarter U.S. GDP data.

Gold rose as much as 1percent on Thursday on safe-

haven buying as oil continued itsascent and on a sliding

dollar, but it would have to crack key resistance levels

to sustain the uptrend.

Oil rose for a fourth straight day to stay above $118 a

barrel on Thursday, on fears Tropical Storm Gustav

may hit theGulf of Mexico after it morphs into a major

hurricane,paralysing the heart of U.S. offshore production.

The euro edged up to $1.4781 recovering from asix-month

low of $1.4570 hit on Tuesday, after comments by a

European Central Bank official the previous day scaled

back speculation about an ECB rate cut.





Wednesday, August 27, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 27 2008

AUG 27 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

SUPPORT 1 RS 20140 , SUPPORT 2 RS 19960

RESISTENCE 1 RS 20540, RESISTENCE 2 RS 20780

BUY AT RS 20280 TO RS 20290

STOP LOSS RS 20060

TARGET RS 20680

Silver for immediate delivery advanced 0.4 percent to $13.65 an ounce.

Gold rose for the second day in Asia as the dollar's decline from

a six-month high against the euro and crude oil's advance

boosted the appeal of the precious metal as an

alternative asset.

The dollar fell from a six-month high against the euro on

speculation weakening business and consumer spending

will discourage the Federal Reserve from raising

interest rates.

The dollar declined to $1.4708 per euro from $1.4653 yesterday,

when it touched $1.4571, the strongest since Feb. 14. Crude oil

in New York rallied 0.3 percent to $116.58 a barrel after

advancing 1 percent yesterday. Prices are up 61 percent

from a year ago.

The U.S. dollar appears to be climbing higher with the market

looking for more reasons to buy rather than sell the

previously unloved currency.

A choppy oil price may limit price declines in bullion.



Tuesday, August 26, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 26 2008

AUG 26 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 20040, S2 RS 19840 ,

R1 20360, R2 RS 20540

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS

September silver fell 0.8% to $13.37 an ounce.

Gold futures closed lower Monday, with traders taking profit

from last week's 5% rally and finding little indication for

direction from the U.S. dollar and oil.

Gold's slip was limited by a mixed U.S. dollar, with the greenback

trading almost flat against the British pound. The pound bought

$1.8522 recently. The dollar gained modestly against the euro,

with the European currency buying $1.4755.

Resales of U.S. single-family homes and condominiums rose

in July but inventories also increased, reaching record levels,

data showed Monday.

The dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against

a basket of other major currencies, was at 76.80, almost

unchanged from Friday.

Dollar-denominated gold prices tend to move in the opposite\

direction of the greenback.

Nymex crude for October delivery closed 52 cents higher at

$115.11 a barrel on the Nymex.






Saturday, August 23, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 23 2008

AUG 23 2008

September silver fell 25 cents to close at $13.477 an ounce.

Gold futures closed lower Friday, pressured by falling

oil prices and a rally in the U.S. dollar against other

major currencies, but prices for the precious metal

finished the week more than 5% higher.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Friday that

inflation was on track to moderate in coming months.

Recent developments in commodity prices and the dollar,

combined with slow growth, should lead inflation pressures

to ease, Bernanke told policymakers and leading economists

attending the Fed's annual retreat in Jackson Hole.

On Thursday, gold rose $22.70, or 2.8%, to close at $839 an

ounce on the Nymex after surging to a high of $844. It closed

at its strongest level since Aug. 8 and reached its highest level

since Aug. 11, on an intraday basis.

Meanwhile, crude-oil futures fell for the first time in

four days, retreating from a 5% rally in the previous

session, as a stronger U.S. dollar pushed down dollar

-denominated commodities prices.

Friday, August 22, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 22 2008

AUG 22 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 20210 , S2 RS 19960

R1 RS 20640, R2 RS 20870

BUY AT RS 20320 TO 20340

STOP LOSS RS 20230

TARGET RS 20760

Silver for immediate delivery rose 0.3 percent to $13.89 an ounce.

Gold headed for its biggest weekly gain in seven years

as the dollar weakened and crude oil rose, boosting the

precious metal's appeal as a haven investment.

The dollar traded near the lowest level in more than two

weeks against the yen, and headed for its first weekly loss

versus the euro ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S.

Bernanke's speech on financial stability. The Dollar Index,

a weighted measure against the euro, yen, pound and

three other major currencies, was little changed today.





Thursday, August 21, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 21 2008

AUG 21 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 19460 , S2 RS 19140

R1 RS 19840 , R2 RS 20060

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS.

September silver fell by 6.5 cents to close at $13.04 an ounce .

Gold futures closed modestly lower Wednesday in New York

as a stronger U.S. dollar helped ease demand for the

precious metal.

Weakness in oil prices also put pressure on gold but after

the regular trading session ended for the metal, oil prices

turned and finished higher.

For now, worries about growth outside the U.S. allowed

the dollar to rebound Wednesday, sending the euro back

toward six-month lows against the greenback and lifting

the U.S. unit against most major counterparts.

The dollar index which measures the greenback against a trade-

weighted basket of currencies, rose to 76.92 from 76.746 in

late North American trading Tuesday.

Oil futures fell during much of Wednesday session, then closed with

a 45-cent gain. The Energy Department reported a bigger-than-

expected rise in crude inventories and showed a fourth-weekly

decline in gasoline inventories.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 20 2008

AUG 20 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 19940, S2 RS 19270

R1 RS 20260 , R2 RS 20540

STAY LONG FOR INTRADAY AT SUPPORT.

Silver edged up to$13.36/13.42 an ounce from $13.15/13.21

late in New York.

Gold rose to its highest inalmost a week on Wednesday after

gains in oil prices spurredbuying, which also helped to pluck

cash platinum from itslowest level in nearly a year.

Oil prices rose about 1.5 percent on Tuesday as part of a

broad commodities rebound triggered by weakness in

the U.S.dollar.

The most active Tokyo gold contract for June 2009 delivery

on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange ended the morning

session 101 yen per gram higher at 2,897 yen, having fallen to

its weakest since late November in previous session.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 19 2008

AUG 19 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 19640, S2 RS 19360

R1 RS 20030 , R2 RS 20360

Silver leads the gains among other metals; analyst

sees prices bottoming out.

Silver futures rose 2.9% Monday after tumbling 10% in the

previous session.

The U.S. dollar drifted lower against major rivals on Monday.

U.S. home builders were as gloomy in August as they've

ever been about the housing market, but saw some reason

to hope that the recent housing relief bill could help, the

National Association of Home Builders said Monday.

Meanwhile, crude-oil futures closed lower, pulling back

from a high above $115 a barrel as concerns over

potential supply disruptions from Tropical Storm

Fay remained, but eased.

September silver futures rose 28.5 cents, or 2.2%, to close

at $13.10 an ounce. On Friday, silver futures dropped

9.9% for the day and lost 16.4% for the week.

Friday, August 15, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 15 2008

AUG 15 FRIDAY


silver plunged 12.1 percent to $12.46 an ounce, the lowest

since Sept. 14, before trading at $12.98.


Gold tumbled below $800 an ounce in Asian trading as

the dollar headed for its longest winning streak in more

than two years, reducing the appeal of the metal as an

alternative investment to U.S. assets.

Oil, gold, copper and corn have plunged from records this year as

the dollar strengthened and concern mounted that slower global

economic growth will cut demand for raw materials. Silver and

platinum also tumbled today amid increasing expectations the

Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates.

The dollar climbed to a 5 1/2-month high versus the European

single currency, heading for a fifth weekly gain, on speculation

a drop in oil prices will support economic growth in the U.S., the

world's largest consumer of the fuel.



Thursday, August 14, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 14 2008

AUG 14 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 21880

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 26000

S1 RS 21360, S2 RS 21120, S3 RS 20860

R1 RS 21670, R2 RS 21880 , R3 RS 22060

PREFER INTRA DAY LONG AT RS 21360 TO 21340

STOP LOSS RS 21120

TARGET RS 21670

September silver up 36 cents to close at $14.845 an ounce.

Gold futures closed with a gain of almost $17 an ounce Wednesday,

regaining some ground after shedding nearly 12% in value during

an eight-session losing streak.

Gold for December delivery gained $16.90 to close at $831.50

an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The U.S. dollar hit the highest since at least March vs. the euro

and other major currencies Wednesday after a report showed

U.S. retail sales fell less than forecast in July.

The Commerce Department said purchases at retailers declined

0.1% last month. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expected

sales to fall 0.3%. Excluding automobiles, sales rose 0.4%

last month.

Crude prices climbed to a high above $117 per barrel Wednesday,

supported by declines in petroleum supplies.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 13 2008

AUG 13 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 20260

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 20630, S2 RS 20480, S3 RS 20240

R1 RS 21060, R2 RS 21210, R3 RS 21460

September silver fell 13.5 cents to close at $14.485 an ounce.

Gold futures have suffered a drop of more than $100 per ounce

since July 31, extending their losing streak Tuesday to eight

sessions in a row on the heels of a broader decline in the

commodities market.

Gold for December delivery fell $13.70 to close at $814.60 an ounce

on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Prices for oil fell to a low of $112.40 per barrel on Nymex Tuesday.

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has ordered an end to

military operations in Georgia.

And separate reports from the Paris-based International Energy

Agency and the U.S. Energy Information Administration, released

Tuesday, signal a slowdown in global oil demand.

In foreign-exchange trading, the dollar declined Tuesday, pulling back

after a week of rapid gains against the euro and other currencies.

The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of

currencies, fell to 76.14 from 76.21 in North American

trading late Monday.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

UPDATES ON AYG 12 2008

AUG 12 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 19650

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET Rs 29000

S1 RS 20330, S2 RS 20000, S3 RS 19680

R1 RS 20980, R2 RS 21160, R3 RS 21380

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO M0VE SIDEWYS TO LOWER.

WAIT FOR RESISTENCE FOR FRESH SHORTS.

Among other metals Monday, silver was also a big loser.

September silver fell 71 cents, or 4.6%, to close at $14.62

an ounce.

Gold futures closed at their lowest level of the year Monday

as a decline in oil prices and strength in the dollar sent the

precious metal's prices down by more than 4% an ounce in

electronic trading.

The dollar held the line on last week's robust gains Monday, and

analysts said the greenback may catch renewed strength if the

price of crude oil can continue to hold below $120 a barrel.

The dollar index which measures the U.S. dollar against a basket


of major currencies, rose to 76.25, up from 75.82 in late North

American trading Friday. A combination of factors drove the dollar's

rise last week, such as the European Central Bank admitting

weakness in the euro-zone economy.

Meanwhile, crude futures fell below $115 per barrel in New York

Monday, with the September contract down 75 cents to close at

$114.45 on Nymex. Prices haven't traded this low since early May.




Monday, August 11, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 11 2008

AUG 11 MONDAY

Silver prices suffer weekly loss of 12%.

Gold futures closed more than $13 per ounce lower Friday, and

the weekly loss for silver prices exceeded 12% amid fresh

buying interest in the U.S. dollar, which pressured dollar

-denominated commodities such as gold and oil.

Gold for December delivery dropped $13.10 to close at

$864.80 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

It traded as low as $858, the contract's weakest intraday

level since early May.

September silver, down 92.7 cents, or 5.7%, closing at $15.33 an

ounce. Silver futures traded at their lowest level since early

January, and for the week they're down 12.5%.

Tighter Chinese controls on currency inflows and worries about

the outlook for economic growth in the euro-zone countries

sent the dollar sharply higher Friday, while the European

common currency tumbled to a five-month low against

the greenback.

Crude-oil futures also fell Friday, pressured by the rallying dollar.

Friday, August 8, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 8 2008

AUG 8 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH: TARGET RS 22430

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 22660, S2 RS 22430, S3 RS 22240

R1 RS 22980, R2 RS 23160, R3 RS 23320

PREFER SHORT AT RS 22840 TO 22860

STOP LOSS RS 23160

TARGET RS 22430

Silver slipped to $16.18/16.25 an ounce from its

previous finish of$16.51/16.57.

Gold ended lower on Thursday as the dollar rebounded against

the euro after a surprise rise in June U.S. home sales and

comments by European Central Bank President Jean-Claude

Trichet.

The U.S. dollar rose to a 5-1/2-month high against a basket

of currencies and a seven-week peak versus the euro,

bolstered by a surprise rise in June home sales and

diminished expectations for euro-zone interest rate

increases.

Oil, the other main external driver of gold, ended $1.44 higher at

$120.02 a barrel, recovering from three-month lows.


Thursday, August 7, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 7 2008

AUG 7 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH: TARGET RS 22840

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH: TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 23030, S2 RS 22860, S3 RS 22640

R1 RS 23360, R2 RS 23540, R3 RS 23760

PREFER SHORTS AT RS 23360 TO 23380

STOP LOSS RS 23540

TARGET RS 23030

On the Nymex Wednesday, September silver fell

6.7 cents to close at $16.505 an ounce.

Gold for December delivery dropped $3.10 to close at $883

an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It's trading

at the lowest level since mid June.

Crude-oil futures fell after the Energy Department reported that

crude supplies unexpectedly climbed by 1.7 million barrels to

296.9 million for the week ended August 1.

On the currency markets, the U.S. dollar maintained its firmer

tone Wednesday, buoyed against major rivals by more evidence

of deteriorating economic fundamentals in Europe and Japan, in

the wake of the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hold policy

steady for now.

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 6 2008

AUG 6 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 22800

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 23230, S2 RS 23000, S3 RS 22840

R1 RS 23530, R2 RS 24720, R3 RS 24930

PREFER SHORT AT RS 23510 TO 23530

STOP LOSS RS 24720

TARGET RS 23230.

September silver fell by 56.8 cents, or 3.3%, to close at $16.572 an ounce.

Gold futures fell more than $21 an ounce on Tuesday, tallying a

three-session losing streak of more than $36 an ounce as

prices sank to their lowest levels since mid June.

Gold prices moved higher in electronic trading on Globex

immediately after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest

rates unchanged at 2%, then moved lower again. The Fed

gave no sign that it plans to change policy in the foreseeable

future.

The Fed made its announcement at about 2:15 p.m. EDT --

after regular trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange

closed.

The dollar index a measure of the greenback against a trade-

weighted currency basket, was at 73.92, compared with 73.485

in late North American trading Monday.

Weakness in oil helped fuel the dollar's strength. Crude for

September delivery fell $2.24 to close at $119.17 per barrel

on Globex.

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 5 2008

AUG 5 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 23660

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 23840, S2 RS 23670, S3 RS 23430

R1 RS 24160, R2 RS 24330,R3 RS 24475

PREFER SHORT AT RS 24160 TO 24180

STOP LOSS RS 24330

TARGET RS 23860

September silver fell 38 cents, or 2.2%, to close at $17.14 an ounce.

Gold for December delivery dropped $9.60 to close at $907.90

an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange after trading

as low as $903. The contract hasn't seen levels this low since

June 25.

Crude for September delivery tumbled $3.80 to $121.30 a barrel

on the Nymex amid worries about the U.S. economy and demand

for oil.

The U.S. dollar edged higher against most other major currencies,

but remained in recent narrow ranges as investors await this

week's interest-rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, the

Bank of England and the European Central Bank.

The Fed is broadly expected to keep its key lending rate

unchanged at 2% on Tuesday.



Saturday, August 2, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 2 2008

AUG 2 SATURDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 24220

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH: TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 25360, S2 RS 24220, S3 RS 23930

R1 RS 24560, R2 RS 24750, R3 RS 24960

PREFER SHORT AT RS 24560 TO 24570

STOP LOSS RS 24750

TARGET RS 24220

Silver futures for September delivery dropped 27 cents,

or 1.5 percent, to $17.52 an ounce on the Comex. Silver

gained 17 percent this year, including a 0.8 percent

rise this week.

Gold fell as better-than-expected U.S. jobs data

boosted the dollar and reduced demand for

alternative assets. Silver also dropped.

Crude oil jumped as much as 3.6 percent following

remarks by Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz

that Iran was poised to make ``unacceptable''

progress in its nuclear program. Gold jumped to

a record in March as oil climbed and the dollar

slipped.

Friday, August 1, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 1 2008

AUG 1 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS : TARGET RS 24360 TO 25070

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 29000

S1 RS 24540, S2 RS 24360, S3 RS 24160

R1 RS 24930, R2 RS 25070, 25210

MARKET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SIDEWAYS.